Scope of the Study
The LGA has commissioned CPCS to conduct a study on local traffic demand management strategies. This report gives a comprehensive view of direct and indirect transport and spatial planning powers for managing traffic demand, by setting out the options and measures available to councils and outlining the powers and steps required for councils to implement them. The study also examines the political challenges and opportunities they provide, lessons from existing schemes, and highlights recommendations for central government to help councils who want to implement demand management measures.
Background
Councils are responsible for supporting an effective, reliable, and sustainable local transport network. They build and maintain their highway network, and seek to manage and support journeys by car, bus and bicycle in the carriageway and walking and wheeling on the footway.
Car dependency
As car ownership has become more attainable, cars have become indispensable tools for millions across England, facilitating daily commutes, shopping trips, and essential errands. In fact, according to Transport Statistics Great Britain (2022), cars, vans, and taxis accounted for a vast majority (88 per cent) of passenger kilometres travelled in 2021. For many, especially those in rural areas where distances are greater, and public transport options are limited, cars are even more critical. In addition, electric vehicles (EVs), contribute to decarbonisation and a healthier environment.
However, this rise in the number of cars on the road has brought some problems too, including traffic congestion, poor air quality and diminished quality of life for many residents on busy roads. Total vehicle mileage increased by 10 per cent – 33 billion miles – in just six years from 2013 to 2019. All forms of public transport experienced a significant decrease in trip rates in 2020, which was likely due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Subsequently, in 2021, trip rates for all selected modes of public transport saw a slight increase but remained lower than pre-pandemic (2019) levels (National Travel Survey, 2022) although motor traffic is now back at pre-pandemic levels (Domestic Transport Usage by Mode, Department for Transport (DfT) April 2024). Top of Form The pandemic also affected public transport systems, with ridership declining sharply during the height of the crisis. Some commuters who previously relied on buses, trains, or trams shifted to private vehicles for perceived safety reasons, contributing to increased road demand.
The DfT’s national traffic projections say that under all the scenarios tested traffic volume is set to rise with the most modest estimate being an increase of 8 per cent by 2060. Under the ‘core’ scenario traffic could rise by 22 per cent, and under the ‘Technology Scenario’ by 54 per cent. These projections reflect the potential of cheaper running costs associated with electric vehicles. Other modes of transport such as walking, cycling and public transport, which support important wider policy ambitions, including transport decarbonisation and public health, are likely to suffer due to such an increase in vehicle miles driven.
TDM tools
TDM is the process of improving transport efficiency to reduce congestion and make better use of transport infrastructure. TDM strategies fall into three categories – network management, behaviour change, and capacity creation. This study focuses on strategies related to network management that may be employed by local authorities, while acknowledging that creating new transport capacity and incentivising behaviour change can also help to optimise traffic demand on local networks.
Local councils possess a range of tools at their disposal to address transport challenges, but the effectiveness of these tools can vary significantly depending on factors such as cost, public acceptance, and suitability for different contexts, including urban and rural areas.
Local transport issues
Central government has recognised the need to improve local transport systems. It published a National Bus Strategy, a Walking and Cycling Strategy and a transport decarbonisation plan and acknowledged the necessity of reducing traffic, with national traffic projections indicating a looming increase in traffic volumes. This underscores the urgency for more robust measures to support decarbonisation efforts. Government has created tools like the WPL and congestion charging to aid in congestion management. However, there's a notable inconsistency in messaging, exemplified by initiatives such as the Plan for Drivers (2023), which framed council interventions to support shared and national ambitions as anti-driver.
Furthermore, local government faces significant hurdles due to inconsistent funding from central government. This lack of financial support exacerbates existing transport challenges. As shown in Figure 2, local authority spending power declined by 17.5 per cent from 2009/10 to 2019/20. Spending power started to increase after this period but was still 10 per cent less in 2021/22 than it was in 2009/10. This drop happened mostly due to the decline in central government grants, as seen in Figure 3. Between 2009/10 and 2019/20, these grants were cut by 40 per cent, going from £46.5 billion to £28 billion. Although grants were provided to local authorities during COVID-19 to help with pandemic-related spending, the total amount of grant funding went down by 21 per cent in real terms between 2009/10 and 2021/22. Discounting COVID-related grants, grant funding decreased by a total of 31 per cent during this period. This trend highlights the funding challenges local authorities face in seeking to address local transport challenges. A lack of adequate funding makes it harder for councils to invest in longer-term transport initiatives, such as congestion management. Implementing an effective TDM strategy would be able to improve transport efficiency by reducing congestion, making better use of existing transport infrastructure and potentially raise revenue for further investment in public transport.