Question 3: Do you agree that the suggested principles should inform our approach to updating local authority funding allocations?
We broadly agree with the principles in the consultation paper, although as we noted in our February 2019 response to the 'Review of local authorities’ relative needs and
resources', the previous Government’s 2018 consultation, simplicity is welcome, but not at a disproportionate cost to accuracy or fairness
Question 4: Do you agree with our proposal to use the best available evidence and most up-to-date data in the assessment of need, including using the most recent census data?
The funding system is out of date, opaque, and overly complex. We have long called for the Government to commit to reviewing both the formulae and the underlying data used for the assessment of relative needs and resources and therefore we welcome this review. This also need to consider the base year used in any assessment of need.
In our responses to the previous Government’s consultations, from March 2018 and February 2019 we supported the use of population projections in order to reflect changing population size and structure in areas when assessing the relative needs of local authorities. This is still our position.
In the interests of transparency, the Government should provide evidence on cost drivers tested and the expenditure data used, including, on a case-by-case basis, reference years, clarification of whether total spending or spending per head is being measured, and whether spending is deflated for area cost differences. It should also show how statistical techniques such as regression/correlation analysis or multi-level modelling are used and the results, in either the forthcoming detailed consultation on formula changes or in an accompanying technical appendix.
Question 5: Do you agree with our proposal to simplify the assessment by reducing the number of Relative Needs Formulae? If you disagree, please explain why and which service areas you are concerned about.
As stated above we consider that simplicity is welcome but not a disproportionate cost to accuracy. In terms of a general formula, or what was previously known as the foundation formula, there is a case for deprivation to remain as a factor, with the development of a clear evidence base for the weighting of this cost driver.
We agree that adult social care, children’s services, fire and rescue and highway maintenance should have bespoke formulas as proposed in the consultation. On the latter, we note that the previous Government’s 2017 consultation, which the current consultation refers to, said that traffic volume, particularly that of heavy goods vehicles, has a significant impact.
There is a case for a bespoke formula for temporary accommodation given the increasing costs of homelessness services with multiple contributory cost and demand drivers. Councils’ budgeted net spend on homelessness services increased by £604 million (77.4 per cent) in real terms from 2019/20 to 2024/25.
Some member councils would also press the case for bespoke formula for services such as concessionary travel, free home to school transport services, and flood defence and coastal protection. On flood defence they would point to the costs of preventing floods. There has also been a real-terms increase in budgeted spend by councils on home to school transport for children with SEND of 64.3 per cent from 2018/19 to 2023/24. We would repeat our suggestion that the Government should be guided by the evidence and should engage with councils most affected by the cost pressures on these services as part of arriving at its decision.
Question 6: For the children, young people and family services formula, do you agree that the variables set out are the right ones to consider in an assessment of relative need? If you recommend the addition or removal of variables, please provide supporting evidence and recommend a suitable dataset.
In our 2019 response we welcomed an evidence-based approach, the use of multi-level modelling and lower area level data. It would appear that the approach builds on this work but it is not completely clear this is the case. As we have said in our response to question 4, it is important that the analysis and selection and weighting of factors are published, including how it draws on work previously commissioned by MHCLG and DfE, and the 2025/26 Children’s Social Care Prevention Grant formula.
Question 7: Do you agree that the Government should consider updating the data in the fire and rescue services Relative Needs Formula?
We support a collaborative approach between authorities with fire responsibilities and the Government in developing a new fire relative needs formula.
Question 8: Do you agree we should assess differences in cost using an Area Cost Adjustment based on the structure of 2024 ACA? If not, please provide evidence for alternative approaches.
We agree with the use of Area Cost Adjustments to account for cost differences in both urban and rural areas. It would appear that the 2024 ACA builds on previous work. In our 2019 response, we supported an evidence-based approach and said that the principle of considering journey times as an area cost factor reflecting sparsity and density in the revised assessment was sound. We welcome the publication of the explanatory note for the 2024 Children’s Services Area Cost Adjustment and consider that the Government should publish similar notes for the other service ACAs. The Government should also publish the model used, not just the final values, so that councils can see how the ACA is constructed and calculated for their area.
Question 9: Do you agree that (other than locally retained business rates) we should only adjust for Council Tax when assessing local resources? If you do not agree, please include details of what other sources of income you think should be included (if any), and how the Government should adjust for them.
In our 2019 reply we said that council tax only, and not sales and fees and charges, should be taken into account when assessing local resources. We repeat this.
The consultation asks for views on whether the Government should in principle adjust for the new Extended Producer Responsibility (pEPR) income source, how to do so, and to what extent although there is no specific question. We have welcomed that in 2025/26 funding local authorities will receive from the pEPR will be treated as ‘additional’ income and separate to the local government finance settlement. We have also said that, in the longer-term, councils need to receive the full actual costs for delivering local waste and recycling services rather than estimates. Based on our modelling work, the £1.1 billion which is the estimate of the payment in 2025/26, may be lower than what local authorities need to deliver the packaging waste services. Incorporating this income into the resources baseline may be challenging, at least initially, as it is difficult to predict producer behaviour.
Question 10: Do you agree that we should measure Council Tax income by making uniform assumptions on the Level of Council Tax charged by local authorities and factors which determine their ability to raise Council Tax?
We support the use of assumed rather than actual council tax levels, in order to ensure that local authorities are not rewarded or penalised as a result of historic political decisions.
The Government should take account of non-discretionary council tax discounts and exemptions, including that due to the pensioner element of council tax support. However, it should not take account of discretionary discounts and exemptions or premiums in line with the principle that financial costs and benefits of local decisions should be retained in full by councils.
We do not believe that actual council tax collection rates should be taken into account as this could inadvertently penalise councils with higher collection rates. However, we previously noted that there is a very strong correlation between 2017/18 collection rates and the average score of the 2015 index of multiple deprivation. As a result, we believe that the ability to collect council tax could be adjusted for using a formula approach instead of looking at actual council tax collection rates.
Question 11: To what extent should we adjust for Council Tax when determining local authority allocations (i.e. what assumption should we make on Council Tax Level)?
Different authorities will have different views on the weighting given to assumed council tax income within the formula.
In our view the Government’s methodology should not presuppose increases in council tax income in calculations of the resources adjustment or of the baseline for the transition mechanism, regardless of whether those assumed increases arise from expected taxbase growth, or from expected increases in council tax levels.
Question 12: Do you agree Transitional Arrangements should account for a Business Rates Reset? If not, please explain why.
The LGA notes that the Government has announced that a full reset will occur in 2026/27. We note that business rates retention means balancing needs with incentives and that any reset should be consistent with the Government’s growth agenda. We consider that the Government should introduce a transitional mechanism as part of any reset to ensure that local authority services that residents rely on are not put at risk.
Pools, which enable growth to be shared among wider areas, should continue.
We welcome the Government’s approach to technical work on the 2026 reset and will respond to the technical consultation when it is published. It is important that minutes of the Implementation Working Group are in the public domain and that the Government fully update their 2018 work on retention gains.