Earlier this year the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment concluded that: “The cumulative scientific evidence is unequivocal: climate change is a threat to human well-being and planetary health. Any further delay in concerted anticipatory global action on adaptation and mitigation will miss a brief and rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a liveable and sustainable future for all.”
The combination of flooding, heat, drought, ecosystem collapse and global political instability has the potential to create significant damage to the UK’s economy as well as the health and well-being of our communities.
Public concern for the environment is high, with more than 80 per cent of the public somewhat or very concerned about climate change. Opinion polling also continues to show significant levels of support for net zero, and the extent to which our way of live is impacted will become more acutely felt as flooding, heat, drought, shortages, and economic damage escalate.
Climate action is positive on multiple fronts. Alongside safeguarding a habitable future, associated co-benefits of the move to net zero tackle the greatest concerns in our communities, our cost of living, our health, and our economy. There are huge opportunities to shape the green recovery, locally, nationally, and internationally.
Over 300 local authorities have declared climate emergencies and are in the process of developing plans to deliver against ambitious targets. As local leaders, only councils can mobilise and join-up community action on climate change and pull a wide range of levers to deliver local action that reduces emissions and adapts to the impact.
As the Government’s Net Zero Strategy summarised, councils can influence 80 per cent of emissions from their places, they have direct influence over a third of emissions, and have direct responsibility for three to five per cent of emissions.
However, this potential is a long way off being realised, set out below is an approach to redress this over the medium and short term.
First, the Government must support councils to lead place-based approaches to hit net zero targets, which cost three times less than a centralised approach and deliver twice the social and financial returns.
New research has revealed dramatic benefits of joined-up, place-based approaches which can achieve significantly greater returns on investment, achieved primarily through decarbonising heat, buildings, and travel.
Accelerating Net Zero Delivery from the UKRI report with PWC, University of Leeds, and Otley Energy, found that a centralised – or ‘place-agnostic’ - approach would take £195 billion of investment in things like heat pumps, insulation, and electric vehicles, to meet the targets set out in the sixth carbon budget; and would release £57 billion of energy savings, and £444 billion of wider social benefits over the next 30 years.
By contrast, under a scenario taking a place-specific approach, £58 billion of investment would be needed to meet the same targets. In the process it would generate £108 billion of energy savings for consumers, and £825 billion of wider social benefits over the next 30 years. The benefits of place-based approaches are significant.
Second, local approaches to net zero are also critical for understanding, planning, targeting, and connecting the range of interventions needed to enable the ‘ready to pay’ markets to grow.
For instance, on decarbonising housing, councils can develop strategies that link public investment in retrofitting social homes to local efforts to build supply chains and green skills to pump-prime market growth. Councils can set the signals on the most appropriate technical solutions for different areas and help strategically build the grid capacity.
As leaders in the community, councils can connect this with strategies to inspire households to invest themselves, connecting and mobilising public services and community groups – as they did in the Covid-19 pandemic – to create an offer that provides advice, protections, and incentives to support residents make the decision to decarbonise their homes.
Furthermore, the UK Cities Climate Investment Commission and UK Research and Innovation are beginning to demonstrate that councils are uniquely able to build a pipeline of net zero projects with the scale to crowd in significant levels of private capital. Subject to capacity, technical skills and a clear public finance landscape, councils can lead a step change in private investment essential to the transition.
Third, councils are also uniquely able to connect the local path to net zero while helping resolve some of the immediate challenges and concerns facing families.
For instance, as a central fixture of the local welfare support system, councils can combine efforts to support people with the cost-of-living crisis with advice and basic energy efficiency measures that permanently reduce energy bills. Our modelling suggests £12.7 billion will be wasted through leaky homes over the next two years, with a third of that cost being incurred by the Government under its Energy Price Guarantee. There is an opportunity for urgent retrofit effort that accelerates the long-term decarbonisation effort. However, the impact on families is urgent, and councils can also help rapidly deploy basic energy advice and simple draught proofing measures that can make a big difference to households.
Similarly, the public health dangers of cold homes in the winter or extreme heat in the summer can be reduced by councils connecting health services with efforts to improve energy efficiency. Wider action to promote active travel, increase the prevalence and availability of nature and green space, and improve air quality are also other primary objectives that councils can best bring together in places.
Public interest, concern and engagement with our adaptation effort will likely grow in the years ahead as the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events escalate, and the impacts on health, quality of life, and the economy grow.
Councils will play a central role in adapting, preparing, and responding to the majority of the sixty-one climate risks identified by the Climate Change Risk Assessment. They can leverage their influence as community leaders and conveners, with responsibilities across housing, planning, transport, infrastructure, environment, environmental health, public health, welfare, emergency response, community safety and more.
Like net zero, the adaptation effort will require every part of our society and economy, the scale of adaptation is significant and predominately place-based. Councils can be central to closing the widening gap between the level of risk we face and the level of adaptation underway. For many councils, this starts with resolving the vulnerability and role of their own services.
The Government should work with councils to develop a net zero and adaptation delivery and investment framework, which aligns and clarifies national and local leadership, collaboration, and delivery roles across priority issues such as decarbonising heat and buildings, transport, energy in every place.
In June 2022 the Climate Change Committee concluded that around 60 percent of UK emissions still require a tangible decarbonisation plan. And the June 2021 the Committee presented alarming new evidence that adaptation action has failed to keep pace with the worsening reality of climate risk.
The current approach will unlikely leverage the potential of place-based approaches, ‘due to gaps in powers, policy and funding barriers, and a lack of capacity and skills at a local level’. Additionally, without some level of coordination, the UK risks pursuing a fragmented strategy towards net zero, and climate adaption.
We believe this framework has two key elements: place-based funding and local capacity to deliver.
The funding landscape for local government, net zero and climate change adaptation is centralised, complex, increasingly competitive, and uncertain, where councils are forced into chasing for small pots of investment from a wide range of shifting funding streams
The response to climate change shouldn’t be a competition. The approach limits the scope for strategic, coherent place-based approaches, and the social and financial benefits this returns. It doesn’t enable councils to develop projects of the scale and ambition to attract the private capital. It creates a mountain of bureaucracy and duplication within central and local government. It stifles innovation. And it means some areas do not receive any funding at all.
As part of a wider net zero delivery and investment framework, local and central government should work together to develop broad multi-year place-based funding allocations to deliver the range of agreed objectives – for instance to support housing retrofit and decarbonisation, decarbonise transport across places, and spearhead the nature recovery.
Most of councils’ revenue spend on climate change is from core budget, through services like housing, economic development, planning, transport. This capacity is critical to developing the projects that deliver net zero on the ground, however it is significantly limited due to wider financial and service pressures where councils have statutory duties and, as this submission explains elsewhere, these pressures are going to rise significantly.
When national funding is made available to help councils to build capability and capacity on net zero, it is often tied up in short term competitive schemes, meaning those with the capacity to write bids are most likely to benefit from additional capacity, while those without it continue to struggle. Further, it significantly curtails the impact public investment can have, for instance in attracting private investment, or aligning support for growing demand with support for growing skills and supply chains.
Local and central government should review and explore the critical areas to build capacity in councils, linked to the wider delivery framework and place-based allocations. Working with the LGA, Government should help all councils build in house capacity, to share and pool resources, and consider national or regional technical assistance support in key areas for instance in bringing forward projects suitable to private capital investment.
In addition to this longer-term approach to reform we also believe there are a number of actions, the Government can work with councils on in the short term.
- Align cost of living support with urgent investments into energy efficiency and net zero – establish a national energy advice support centre as committed in the Energy Security Strategy and invest in councils to extend and target local support into basic energy efficiency improvements which are cheap, quick and easy to install and are not provided by ECO 4 or other schemes.
- Bring forward earmarked investment – bring forward previous spending commitments to accelerate delivery and increase scale on priority issues. For instance, bringing forward investment in the Social Housing Decarbonisation Fund rather than phasing it over 10 years.
- Support climate action everywhere – shift existing spending away from competitively accessed schemes and towards allocations to all places, including with a capacity building element. For instance, less that 50 percent of places that bid for funding for national bus strategy received support. We acknowledge some funds will need topping up to ensure every place has the opportunity.
- Support climate action through everything – all public investments can and should help support the reduction of emissions or the adaption to change and the associated co-benefits. For instance, shaping spending across the range of growth, levelling up, infrastructure, housing, transport agendas.
- Provide flexibility in schemes for councils to innovate – build flexibility into all grants, for instance relaxing time frames and measure success through outcomes rather than spending speed. For instance, allow councils to use social housing decarbonisation grant as flexibly as they like to reduce emissions, rather than restrict its usage. And allow grant funding for innovative projects, currently this is often not permitted meaning councils must borrow to fund innovation which is less desirable.
- Be smart with funding – extend timeframes and provide some flexibility around bidding, short time frames for any bidding programmes creates the risk of funding the fastest rather than the best projects. Some funding opportunities, like Salix, run on a ‘first come first served’ basis which amplifies this risk.
- Reduce bureaucracy and red tape – align existing administration and accounting as far as possible, the current landscape of schemes creates an industry in auditing, accounting, and other administration. This is swamping council finance project teams and creating replicated bureaucracies across central government.