Government has the power to free up local economies so that labour productivity could grow by as much as 20 per cent in some areas.
Introduction
Government has the power to free up local economies so that labour productivity could grow by as much as 20 per cent in some areas. It can do this by:[4]
- Agreeing a devolution settlement for the whole of England which delivers fair sub-national government expenditure and flexible funding to address local needs.
- Devolving multi-year employment and skills agreements: enabling local leaders to work with partners to deliver jobs and skills driven by local needs and opportunities.
- Investing in a new generation of social housing: giving councils the funding and powers they need to deliver the homes their communities want.
- Accelerating local climate action: enable councils to link skills, careers advice and employment interventions with national reform and local climate action and job creation.
- Revitalising high streets: councils need growth funding certainty and better local powers to shape their town centres, making them more resilient to economic shocks.
“It’s the economy, stupid”
The cost-of-living crisis has brought the performance of the economy into sharp focus. The public wants the economic pie to grow, they want its distribution to be fairer and at the same time they want the environment to be protected. Increasing productivity in every part of England is essential to increasing incomes and reducing inequality. But as we have seen this cannot be achieved through our current centralised system. Since the financial crisis of 2008, productivity in the UK has flat lined and nearly half of the UK’s sub-regions are 10 per cent below the UK average. We know from international comparisons that devolution, which builds on good government and high levels of local integration, can have a transforming impact on productivity.[1][2]
Jong d et al (2021) A comprehensive approach to understanding urban productivity effects of local governments: Local autonomy, government quality and fragmentation, OECD.[4]
Inequality or growth: what do the public think? (moreincommon.org.uk);[2]
New research finds public support economic growth, but not at any cost | Ipsos
Jong d et al (2021) A comprehensive approach to understanding urban productivity effects of local governments: Local autonomy, government quality and fragmentation, OECD.[1]
More of the same?
Many of the country’s productivity challenges have been around for decades and our current centralised approach hasn’t been up to solving them. Local economies differ widely across the country in terms of their sectoral composition and their paths to higher productivity, but there are a number of factors that influence economic performance in any setting.
Across England, £20 billion is spent on at least 49 nationally contracted or delivered employment and skills related schemes or services managed by nine Whitehall departments and agencies, multiple providers and over different geographies.[3] Government strategies haven’t set out how schemes like Levelling Up and Towns Funds, Help to Grow, Restart, Bootcamps, apprenticeships, etc work together, with no single organisation responsible for coordinating how the totality can improve outcomes. This cannot be the best way to operate for the future.
Productivity is closely linked to real wages. Both have stagnated since the financial crisis in 2008. Declining real wages negatively impact on people’s living standards and on their actual and perceived wellbeing. Turning this around in the medium to long term will improve the economy, and people’s health, everywhere.
Councils and combined authority areas are the right place to coordinate activity to meet community expectations on economic, social and environmental challenges. We know it can’t be done from Whitehall. We have been involved in a real-time experiment over many years and international comparisons show that our current centralised approach is ineffective in addressing the challenges. With the right capacity and within a stable framework councils and combined authorities can deliver the transformation to the higher skilled, green and fair economy that communities expect.
Mission to reality: how do we get there?
Under an umbrella of devolution, one which supplies long-term financial certainty, financial flexibility and some additional powers, local authorities and their partners can achieve better outcomes across:
- transport
- skills and employment support
- housing
- digital technology
- business support
- public sector services
- and highstreets and place.
This will bring about conditions for increased capital investment, improved productivity and better, inclusive and sustainable, economic growth.
Central government must set the framework for decentralisation. It must retain responsibilities for:
- macroeconomic stability
- trade arrangements with other countries and blocks
- nationally significant infrastructure
- making and enforcing the rules on market engagement
- standards and quality of goods and services.
Everything else to do with economic development should be in the decentralisation project. Central government must work with councils and combined authorities on a significant capacity building programme for the sector. This means ensuring the sector is able to develop and employ the skills it needs and is able to attract high quality political leadership, to deliver on the local economy. We have to do what we can quickly, but also recognise that this is a long-term project that requires transformation at local and national level.
This level of change requires cross-party commitment because it will need to be sustained over multiple governmental mandates.
The sum of our ambitions
Devolution cannot turn things around overnight. Improving productivity and economic and social wellbeing takes time and requires long-term cross-party commitment to decentralisation at the national level and changing the way we do things.
Capacity remains a critical issue for councils. Councils face workforce challenges across a full range of service areas. Investment in corporate capacity, knowledge and skills is needed in many councils to be able to meet devolution aspirations for improved economic outcomes in the short term. This needs to be built up.
Our economy is changing fast. We need to address labour market challenges (eg rising vacancy and economic inactivity rates and low skills levels), and at the same time capitalise on opportunities of green growth, automation and new global markets. National policy struggles to anticipate these or find meaningful ways of enabling local leaders to address the totality of these issues which differ from place to place. We need to trust local places to make the right decisions for local communities. If we get the restructuring right, then over the long-term we could see labour productivity grow in some areas by as much as 20 per cent.[4]